rcpmapshot
Predicted outcome for the presidential nomination.Solid red/blue represents party strongholds, unlikely to flip. Light blue/red represents the weak affiliations or toss-up states, colored according to how I predict they will unfold.

 

Later on I will update with why I anticipate the election this way.
Suffice it to say:

The Trump-indicated states Most likely to flip for Clinton are Florida, New Hampshire and Michigan.

The Clinton-indicated states Most likely to flip for Trump are  Maine district 2 and Colorado.
I consider this chart to underestimate Trumps performance. Note, however that losing Florida is a major failure-vector. If that is lost, Trump needs a few surprise victories. Perhaps  Pennsylvania.

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